Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,078,594$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,088,401.2}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 158.1)}}\) (asimptote \(1,088,401.2\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $104,242$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{101,123.0}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 135.1)}}\) (asimptote \(101,123.0\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $170,771$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,883,264$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{17,475,075.7}{1 + 10^{-0.007 (t - 224.7)}}\) (asimptote \(17,475,075.7\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $263,454$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{251,277.9}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 112.7)}}\) (asimptote \(251,277.9\))
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,748,607$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $160,287$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{154,010.2}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 159.4)}}\) (asimptote \(154,010.2\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,018$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,927.4}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 148.9)}}\) (asimptote \(2,927.4\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $16,293$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-09 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $135,742$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{148,225.9}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 204.8)}}\) (asimptote \(148,225.9\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,679$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,825.1}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 197.0)}}\) (asimptote \(1,825.1\))
Start date 2020-03-09 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $50,790$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-23 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,515$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,968.1}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 227.0)}}\) (asimptote \(7,968.1\))
Start date 2020-04-06 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $131$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,363$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $356,650$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $11,818$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,565.3}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 58.0)}}\) (asimptote \(9,565.3\))
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $59,160$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $106,681$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{109,202.3}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 158.4)}}\) (asimptote \(109,202.3\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,892$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,877.2}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 139.4)}}\) (asimptote \(2,877.2\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $56,435$ on 2020-11-26
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $120,685$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{115,409.8}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 145.8)}}\) (asimptote \(115,409.8\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,133$ on 2020-11-26
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,829.9}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 123.5)}}\) (asimptote \(3,829.9\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,246$ on 2020-11-26